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BOJ October minutes show split on how fast to raise rates

The Bank of Japan's nine-member board agreed inflation has reached 2% but is divided on the pace of further hikes, opinions from its October meeting show.

By Newsroom1 min read
BOJ October minutes show split on how fast to raise rates
Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda (center) and others at a monetary policy meeting, 8:56 a.m. on October 30, 2026, at the Bank of Japan head office in Chuo Ward, Tokyo. Asahi Shimbun (x)

The Bank of Japan's policy board agreed unanimously in October that inflation has reached the 2% target, but split on how quickly to raise interest rates toward that level, opinions published on Tuesday show.

At the October meeting, the board judged that underlying inflation — price growth stripped of temporary factors — had reached the 2% price stability target. It was the first such judgment since the target was introduced in 2013.

The board also held the policy rate at around 1.25% on an 8-3 vote of its nine members.

Pace of hikes divides the board

The published opinions show members differed on how fast to lift the policy rate toward the neutral rate, the level that neither speeds nor slows the economy. The neutral rate is closely tied to where the policy rate will ultimately settle.

Some members argued for moving quickly. Others saw no need to rush while the 2% rate takes hold, according to the opinions.

The gap matters for markets watching the yen and for homeowners on variable-rate mortgages, both of which move with expectations for Japanese rates.

This story was edited for style on 12 November 2026.How we handle corrections.